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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2026-07-31T21:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2026-07-31T21:24Z
DONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/47916/-1
CME Note: Faint CME observed to the NE in SOHO LASCO C2, may be observed to the NE in GOES CCOR-1 but heavily obscured by overlapping far-sided CME: 2026-07-31T23:00Z and real-time data gaps. The source may be the cluster of AR 14498/14450, closer to AR 14498 as brightening near N15E29 surrounded by some weak dimming and field line movement in SDO AIA 193 starting around 2026-07-31T19:25Z.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-08-04T14:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 3.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.
Lead Time: 70.98 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2026-08-01T15:01Z
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